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Near the War Stage - Ray Dalio
Was the war in Ukraine just the warning sign? Dalio: To be clear, when I say that I believe we are on the brink of civil and/or...

Fred Dionne
Nov 2, 20221 min read


Secular and Cyclical Trends
Executive Summary The economy has long-term (secular) trends and shorter-term (cyclical) trends. Secular trends are slow-moving and are...

Fred Dionne
Oct 27, 20221 min read


"This is a Quantum Shift"
Famous macro economist Muriel Roubini, who predicted the 2008 financial crisis, talks about his new book and reviews the systemic risks...

Fred Dionne
Oct 25, 20221 min read


The Impact of the Great China Deleveraging
Over time, we expect a significant macroeconomic impact from China's commitment to financial deleveraging. First, for a large economy...

Fred Dionne
Oct 24, 20221 min read


Troubles Ahead for the 60-40 Portfolio
"It is pertinent to note that since 1984, markets have spent 65% of their time pricing in falling inflation— an environment beneficial to...

Fred Dionne
Oct 24, 20221 min read


Preparing for Stagflation
In this post, Prometheus Research highlights key data on expected rates of returns in regimes of inflation and stagflation. A must read....

Fred Dionne
Oct 14, 20221 min read


Dalio's Bible on Big Macro Cycles
This is THE paper of reference to understand Big Debt Cycles and boom and bust cycles. Famous Bridgewater founder, Ray Dalio, has written...

Fred Dionne
Oct 14, 20221 min read


Raoul Pal Explains his Macro Framework
Raoul Pal from RealVision explains his own Macro Framework with a lot of history to look at.

Fred Dionne
Oct 14, 20221 min read


Strong Winds Ahead
In this video, famous hedge fund manager, Stanley Drukenmiller, explains how the servicing of public debt will reach dangerous levels as...

Fred Dionne
Oct 14, 20221 min read
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